Havoc is yet to come! Corona's active cases can reach 50 lakhs by May 15 in the country

Posted on 26th Apr 2021 by rohit kumar

In the second wave of Coronavirus infection in the country, many people are dying daily. The number of active cases is also increasing rapidly. Amidst this wave of furor, IIT scientists have claimed to be intimidating. It has been said that up to 15 lakh active cases of corona can reach India by May 15. According to the IIT's mathematical model, there will be a second wave peak between May 14-18, in which active cases can go up to 38-48 lakhs. At the same time, between 4-8 May, the number of daily infections can touch up to 4.4 lakhs. This claim by the IITs has further aggravated the concerns. It is known that more than three lakh new cases are coming into the country for the last several days. As per the data arrived on Monday morning, 3,52,991 new corona cases were reported in the country in the last 24 hours, while 2,812 people lost their lives during this period. The number of active cases has increased to 28,13,658.

 

Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur and Hyderabad have talked about increasing the active cases by applying the sutra model. According to them, by mid-May, active cases of one million and corona may increase. Earlier, last week, researchers had forecast that a second wave peak could occur between May 11-15, with active cases rising to between 33-35 lakhs. Later, from late May, new cases of corona will start decreasing, which will provide relief to the people. However, earlier this month, the same model was quoted saying that by April 15 the peak of the active case would come, which did not prove to be true. Maninder Aggarwal, Professor, Computer Science and Engineering Department at IIT Kanpur, said, "This time we have also taken the lowest and highest value. I am sure that between the two numbers given, there will be real cases in between. ''

 

In a Twitter thread on Sunday, Aggarwal gave information about the peak of active and new Covid cases. He wrote, 'Peak arrival time: active cases during May 14-18 and cases of new infections appearing daily during May 4-8. Peak Value: 38-48 lakhs for active cases and from 3.4 lakhs to 4.4 lakhs for new transitions. "In another tweet, Agarwal said," I have now calculated multiple values ​​for peak value and timing and finals. Numbers must be in this range. Describing the model's changing projections over time, Aggarwal said, "The primary is that the current phase parameter values ​​for India are running at a steady slow drift. This makes it difficult to estimate the correct value. ”In an as yet unpublished study, scientists say that the formula model has many characteristics.

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