Possibility of war away from China; The good thing is that contacts at the political, diplomatic, and military levels are not yet broken.

Posted on 12th Sep 2020 by rohit kumar

'Yudham Pragya' is such a principle, which many times Indian forces are called to follow. It means 'fight with wisdom' and in particular it tells two things to future leaders. The first is that you have to be so intelligent that you understand the horrors of war and secondly you should resort to war only if you have the intelligence to understand and prosecute it.

 

The deadlock on the Line of Actual Control (LAC) in Ladakh has been going on for the last four months and the events of the last few days have worried people about the possibility of war between India and China. In these circumstances, bitter nationalism will prevail in the winds, as well as remember that there are enough politicians on both sides, who know that war is something that does not guarantee results.

 

The Indian Army has cleverly slammed China in late August following a sudden attack by the People's Liberation Army (PLA) recently. He opened up an unexpected front and occupied positions in the Kailash Range south of Pangong Tso to gain some edge. One of these gained depth in the Chushul Bowl, ie in military language, the PLA would have to fight in the Kailash range before any attempt at Chushul.

 

Secondly, it has clear and uninterrupted dominance in the Sapanggur Gap, the Sapanggur Lake, and the Moldo Garrison of the PLA. These are the places from which the PLA has to proceed for the Chushul. Third, it has forced the PLA to focus on our existing strength rather than any counter-attack. Civilians may wonder why India did not take this step in May-June 2020? Probably the original military justification for not doing so at the time. Because LAC is just perceptive and the presence here is unacceptable.

 

The hills of the Kailash range have been left empty by both sides. Our sudden occupation here in May-June could have responded by the PLA in a serious area like Chushul, while we were unbalanced then. Recall that the PLA had an edge over us in terms of deployment of additional troops.

 

India is more balanced after sending additional forces to Ladakh in June-July and is in a position to respond to any move by the PLA. This assessment is equally important as to why the PLA missed the opportunity to capture Rechin La or helmet top in May-June.

 

I believe that because of the superiority complex, the PLA felt that the Indian Army could never take a pro-active approach and capture those peaks which it feared to do. Chushul is such a sensitive location that the PLA will probably stay and do anything later when it sees Indian forces and machine tools in and around the Chushul Bowl. We have defeated them with good warning.

 

Media anchors are questioning whether India is in the lead now and could there be a counter-attack in the Kailash range? Will see whatever happens. The possibility of a retaliatory attack may be correct. It can also happen without any reason. A low-level attack can be expected in circumstances emerging from the commanders' depression.

 

It is difficult to evacuate them without using artillery, air force, rockets, and missiles after the strategically placed peaks achieved by Indian forces and in this case reinforced with mechanized equipment.

 

All this will mean war and India is ready for any action. Would China like to adopt this option? Right now, neither is the weight of China's story in the international community, nor is it guaranteed that the PLA can defeat India in a short war. This is a danger. If the objective is not achieved, it would mean China's indirect defeat and Xi Jinping cannot tolerate it before the full meeting of the Central Committee to be held in October 2020.

 

Conventional wisdom says that there will be war-like situations in October – November, and winter will begin thereafter. Therefore, negotiators avoiding war on both sides have a month or more. The positive among all of this is that contacts at the political, diplomatic, and military levels are not yet broken. Prime Minister Modi and the Chinese President can meet at the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) meeting and any result can be drawn from it.

 

We are not to be impressed by the sharp tones of media controlled by the Chinese government. This is part of the information war. In my view, the status quo has been complicated by the inclusion of South Pangong Tso in the list. Skirmishes will continue, but war is likely to go away, although options remain open. How and when this possibility will occur should be left to our intelligence.