Ajit Pawar's rebellion in Maharashtra has disturbed the political equations of the opposition. While this incident has dealt a blow to the campaign of opposition unity, it has also provided an opportunity for the BJP to consolidate its position in the country's second most important state politically.
After this rebellion, Sharad Pawar, who is considered the architect of opposition unity, will now have to give priority to the campaign to save his party. In such a situation, if Pawar engages in a campaign to save the party, then it will weaken the campaign of opposition unity. On the other hand, in Maharashtra, for the first time, the BJP will get an opportunity to strengthen the NDA's position in the Maratha and rural areas beyond Hindutva.
benefit to BJP
After Uttar Pradesh, Maharashtra is the most important from a political point of view. In the last election, the NDA had won 42 out of 48 seats in the state. In these BJP 23, Shiv Sena 18, and one independent candidate supported by both parties won. After the separation of the Shiv Sena, the BJP was apprehensive of a split in the Hindutva vote. The split in the Shiv Sena due to Eknath Shinde's rebellion was likely to reduce this disunity. Now after Ajit's rebellion, BJP is expected to get the votes of those sections as well, so that the shortfall in the Hindutva votes can be made up for. Ajit used to look after the work of the organization with Sharad Pawar in NCP. In such a situation, Ajit has deep penetration into the party organization, which will be beneficial.
Dependence on Shinde will be less: With Ajit joining the government with 40 MLAs, BJP's dependence on Eknath Shinde will be reduced. A fact has come to the fore many times in the internal report that the Eknath Shinde faction does not have more influence in the supporter class than the Uddhav faction. Now in the new situation, the party will not only be able to consolidate its base in the new area but will also be able to easily balance with Shinde.
These questions are yet to be answered
The first question is what will happen to the opposition unity? This question is because Sharad Pawar was the main architect of the opposition unity. Now when Pawar himself will start the campaign to save the party, then what will happen to the opposition unity? The second question is about the claim on NCP. This case is exactly like that of Shiv Sena. After Shinde's rebellion, no decision has been taken on this matter till now. Shiv Sena has been recognized as a new faction in the Lok Sabha. The question is, will the same happen in case of rebellion in NCP? After all, who will get authority over NCP?
The third question is of Mahavikas Aghadi. After Ajit's rebellion, the Congress emerged as the single largest party in the state opposition. In such a situation, his claim is made on the leader of the opposition. The second thing is about the distribution of seats in the Lok Sabha elections. Will Congress seek the maximum number of seats based on the current situation? And will NCP and Shiv Sena accept it?
The fourth question is very important. Now what will Sharad Pawar do after this rebellion? Pawar is a skilled warrior of politics. In such a situation, there is no possibility of them laying down their arms. Then what path will Pawar adopt to defeat his nephew? The fifth question is related to the future stand of Ajit Pawar. After the rebellion in the year 2019, Ajit came back to Pawar. Now the question is whether there is any scope left for Ajit to return to NCP?
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