The government's plan to conduct a consumer expenditure survey in 2020-21 has been derailed due to the recession caused by Coronavirus. This will further delay the exercise of change in the country's macroeconomic indicators, whose questions are being raised about the quality of the data.
Changing the base year of the Consumer Price Index and GDP from 2011-12 and 2012, respectively, depended on the results of the 2017-18 Consumer Expenditure Survey, which the government has recently decided to drop. Apart from this, field surveys are also facing challenges due to the epidemic and there is concern that the current year cannot be considered as a normal economic year.
As part of the change in the base year, a change of 5 years has been recommended to include structural changes in spending pattern. However, this should be a normal economic year. The government had earlier decided to change the base year 2011-12 to 2017-18. If the survey is done in 2021-22 or 2022-23, then the change in base year is likely to happen only in 2025-26 and it will change after more than 15 years.
Former Chief Statistician of India Pranab Sen, who currently heads the Quality Improvement Committee of Indian Statistics, told Business Standard that CPI and GDP are 'severely out of date' and need to be changed.
He said, 'GDP on the basis of 2011-12 is already very old. It should have changed around 2017-18, and that is why the consumer expenditure survey was done. He said that in 2020-21, when the survey is being completely rejected, the government will have to do so in 2021-22 and also to see whether it will be a normal year or not. Sen said, "There will be a negative growth rate in FY21. But even if you come out of it, the base year can be chosen only if the situation is normal. The base should include a stable economy. ' Sen has projected GDP growth to be -10.8 percent, of which the first three quarters will have negative growth rates.
The rating agency Crisil has projected the biggest slowdown in the country's history in 2020-21, when GDP will register a negative growth rate of 5 percent.
Prior to this, the base year of GDP was made from 2004-05 to 2011-12. The 2008 SNA Guidelines recommend a change in Aadhaar every five years. In the earlier case, the base year of GDP was to be raised from 2004-05 to 2009-10, but due to financial crisis and drought, it was an unusual year, the base year of 2011-12 was made.
PC Mohan, former chairman of the National Statistical Commission, said that all statistical activity has stabilized because it is almost impossible to collect data for the next few months due to the coronavirus epidemic. He said that the current year will not be a normal year.
He said, "There is a need to change CPI more than GDP because the ways of consumption of people have changed and it needs to be changed." On the other hand, there is not much to worry about GDP. This can be continued for some more time on the current base year as the data of the companies are being updated on the MCA21 database. '
The entire expenditure in the national account depends on the consumer expenditure survey. It is an indicator of trade, private investments, government expenditure and demand.
Terror Module of ISI-Underworld: Another Suspect Caught from Mumbai, Surrender of a Wanted in Prayagraj; Another suspect claimed to have handed himself over to the police
One more person associated with the terrorist module caught in Delhi has been arrested by Maharashtra ATS late at night from the Nagpada area of Mumbai. His name is Zakir. He will be produced in
In 22 years 29 parties left the NDA; Akali Dal is the only who has been with BJP since day one, but can now leave it for farmers
The Shiromani Akali Dal, one of the oldest NDA allies on the issue of farmers, has adopted a rebel attitude. Harsimrat Kaur, the lone cabinet minister from the Akali Dal quota in the NDA government,
The biggest supermoon of the year was shown: The moon came closest to the earth, and the moon appeared 15% brighter worldwide including Delhi-Ajmer
The brightness of the moon was seen a bit more on Wednesday nights around the world. Although the full moon is visible on every full moon, on Wednesday night, the first super moon of the year looked
These 7 big decisions were taken in the meeting of DDMA, weekend curfew ends in Delhi; Schools will not open now
The Delhi Disaster Management Authority (DDMA), chaired by Lieutenant Governor Anil Baijal, has decided to end the weekend curfew. Along with this, the condition of odd-even has also been removed to
Now you too can get an oxygen concentrator for your use from abroad, the center has given permission
The second wave of Corona has seen a tremendous increase in the demand for oxygen in the country. Many patients lost their lives due to a lack of oxygen. Meanwhile, the Government has amended the
Entry tax imposed on Ghat for the first time in Varanasi: Rs 10 will have to be paid for sitting and roaming for 4 hours at Namo Ghat; SP-Congress protested
If you are a fan of walking and sitting on the banks of the Ganges in Varanasi, then get ready to lose your pockets. Smart City Company has implemented an entry token system at Namo Ghat (Window Ghat)
Negligence: Corona explosion in a village in Maharashtra, food of last rites, 93 Corona infected
The second wave of the coronavirus in Maharashtra has gone out of control. A 15-day mini lockdown is being imposed from tonight. Meanwhile, there have been intimidating reports of the negligence of
UP Board Exam 2022: Do you know that more than 7 lakh students fail in this subject only in the UP Board 10th exam?
Uttar Pradesh Board of Secondary Education is going to release the date sheet for the 10th and 12th soon. In this, clear information about which subject's examination will be conducted on which date
Singer KK's unnatural death case registered, gun salute will be available at Kolkata airport
Millions of fans including the Bollywood world are in shock due to the sudden demise of Bollywood's famous singer KK. Meanwhile, KK's sudden death is being feared as an unnatural death. However, the
Police attack case: Hearing on Arnab Goswami's anticipatory bail plea today
Mumbai's sessions court will hear the anticipatory bail pleas in the case lodged against Arnab Goswami and his wife, editor-in-chief of Republic TV channel, for allegedly assaulting a female officer