'Normal' or 'beyond normal' rainfall is likely over parts of North India, most parts of Central India, and South in July. The India Meteorological Department gave this information on Friday. 'Normal' or 'below normal' rains may occur over most parts of East, Northeast India, and adjoining East Central India and some parts of West South Peninsular India during July.
In a statement, the IMD said that there is a possibility of 'Normal' rainfall (from 94 to 106%) during July across the country. Based on data from 1971 to 2020, the Long Period Average (LPA) rainfall over the country during July is around 280.4 mm.
Temperature to be 'normal' or 'above normal': IMD
Most parts of the country are likely to see 'normal' or 'above normal' maximum temperatures in July. At the same time, maximum temperatures are expected to remain 'below normal' in the Himalayan foothills and parts of peninsular India. The latest global model forecasts indicate that the current La Nina conditions are likely to continue over the equatorial Pacific Ocean and increase the likelihood of the development of negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions over the Indian Ocean from July to September 2022.
La Nina refers to a large-scale cooling of surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, coupled with changes in tropical atmospheric winds, pressure, and precipitation. This happens every two to seven years. La Nina in India is associated with strong monsoons and above-average rainfall and cold winters. The IOD is the difference between ocean temperatures in two parts - the Arabian Sea in the west and the Bay of Bengal in the east. A neutral IOD does not affect the monsoon, but a negative is a bad news.
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