New Delhi
The current week is going to be very important for the fast spreading corona virus in India. In the second week of April ie in the current week, it will be decided whether the corona virus infection is stable in the country or not. According to data from government officials, the Corona virus in India is currently in a state of rapid spread due to the Tablighi group of Delhi.
Things can improve after May 9
According to the estimates of a top government data analyst laboratory of the Government of India, the final stage of corona virus in India should start from May 9. Explain that the laboratory has also shared this estimate with a powerful government panel to ensure availability of essential medical equipment across the country. The panel also issues necessary guidelines to the agencies involved in controlling the epidemic.
Estimates about such infection removed
Explain that the laboratory has made this estimate on susceptible-infected-cured (SIR) models. However, it is not yet known to what extent the infection spread by the Tablighi Jamaat. This estimate is derived after domestic data and studies of the most infected countries, including China. These projections are also shared with agencies engaged in strategizing to prevent the spread of the epidemic.
Tabligi Jamaat has increased the rate of infection
In India, when the corona infection was moving towards a standstill, then the case of Tbiligi Jamaat of Delhi increased it rapidly in many parts of the country. According to government officials, the corona virus case has not gone out of control in the country and it is more likely to end after 21 days of lockdown.
Data analysis will help eliminate lockdown
According to the officials, the inference drawn from the data analyzes will help us to plan for easing the lockdown situation. However, people still need to follow the rules of social distancing strictly.
Estimates are being revised after the Tabligi episode
A detailed analysis of the spread of corona virus is being done for the most affected states. According to this data analysis, the effect of corona virus in Delhi was expected to decrease from 8 April but these estimates are being revised due to the Tablighi Jamaat case.
Rate of infection may slow in affected states
In Maharashtra, one of the worst affected states, if the rate of adherence to infection and social distancing remains the same, then it can get encouraging results in the coming days. In other big states like Tamil Nadu, Rajasthan and Karnataka, the rate of infection may stabilize by the end of this month.
Increase in temperature will have an effect on the rate of infection
Information based on analysis of global data and shared with several committees suggests that an increase in temperature may help slow the spread of the virus. However, sources cautioned that the accuracy of the model could change significantly as there are a large number of suspected cases that have not yet been confirmed.
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