After the weakening of the second wave of coronavirus infection, now the third wave is being feared. Some experts say that the third wave will come in September, while some say that it may come in October. On the other hand, Dr. Clarence J. Samiul, Head of the Department of Community Medicine, Christian Medical College and Hospital, who has been assessing the corona trend through predictive modeling for the last one and a half years, says that the third wave doesn't need to come this year. And show this frightening look.
If we vaccinate a large population of the country and take some precautions, then we can prevent the third wave from coming or reduce its duration and intensity. Whatever assessments have been made by Dr. Clarence J. Samiul regarding the corona trend in the district and Punjab so far, have proved to be correct. Dr. Clarence says that according to him, the third wave can come only next year. Because this time in the second wave from February till now, when the virus spread rapidly, a large population of Badi district, Punjab has been infected. Of these, there will be a large number of infected people who could not be tested or who did not get tested. In this case, those who have been infected must have had immunity or antibodies to fight against the virus for at least six months.
The first wave has an antibody duration of four to six months. Don't know yet in the second wave, but even then assume that the antibody remains for six months after the corona. At the same time, if we vaccinate the maximum population in the three months of June, July, August, then according to this, there will be a possibility of the third wave coming after December. However, the third wave will come when our public health major is not taken care of. Right now the whole focus is going on the clinical side. Ventilators, pediatric wards, and other things are being taken care of. Whereas the public health major needs the most focus.
If any case of this comes, then there should be good contact tracing in it. Strengthen follow-up, reporting systems. Second, when the airport opens after a few days, a lot of visitors will come from different countries and travel will start again. Their quarantine and isolation are very important. If there is negligence there, then the third wave may start next month also.
It is important to understand what the third wave means. This means that a virus against which we do not have immunity. This is called immunity escape. Immunity is escape, South Africa virus. Till now we have a vaccine for immunity against the virus that we have. However, this vaccine does not protect against South African variants and other infections. Similarly in Brazil. If that virus goes here, the third wave will start. If the public is to be saved, then those who are coming from outside, their testing, quarantine, isolation, separation will have to be done with utmost seriousness, alertness, honesty, and strictness. Especially, those who are coming from high-risk areas will have to focus a lot. Because we have seen that many people came from abroad, the corona was infected, but still, they were roaming, did not tell their friends. Therefore, a close watch will have to be kept on those returning from abroad.
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