Scientists of IIT Kanpur claim that the fourth wave of corona may knock from June 22. The peak of the fourth wave will occur around 23 August and its effect will subside completely by 22 October. This research of scientists has also been published on the MadeArchive website.
However, the senior scientist of IIT Kanpur, who told the condition of corona from the formula model on this claim, has not put his stamp. He says that this report is not his. It is too early to comment on this.
Scientists from the Department of Mathematics and Statistical Department of IIT have assessed the fourth wave of corona based on the Gaussian distribution system. For this assessment, he has prepared and studied the data from the website called Our World in Data.org from the first wave of corona till now.
Pro. Shalabh and Prof. Researcher Sabra Prasad, Rajesh, under the direction of Shubra Shankar Dhar, used the bootstrap method to calculate the peak time of the fourth wave based on the study.
According to him, the first case of corona infection was first reported in the world in December 2019. The figures for the third wave in Zimbabwe and India were almost identical.
Currently, the fourth wave has started in Zimbabwe. For this reason, taking the data from Zimbabwe as the basis, the team estimated the fourth wave in India using a Gaussian distribution mixing method.
According to Dr. Shalabh, based on statistical calculations, it was found that the fourth wave of corona in India can come after 936 days from the date of receipt of initial data. The fourth wave is expected to start on 22 June 2022.
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