The Bihar assembly election has become a conduit and before the first phase of voting (October 28), all political parties are busy trying. To get a sense of the mood of the people of Bihar in this election, various news channels along with survey agencies are bringing opinion polls. This time in Bihar, opinion polls have come on TV channels about whose government will be formed, who will be defeated, who will become the CM, and from where the candidate will win. In the opinion poll of the three TV channels-agencies so far, the NDA government is once again seen to be formed, but the contest is also seen to be quite a competition. CSDS-Lokniti and Aaj Tak news channel Opinion Poll, Times Now-Sea Voter Bihar Opinion Poll, and ABP News-Sea Voter Opinion Poll have shown the formation of NDA government. So let us know that with the help of these three opinion polls, we understand the mood of Bihar this time…
Aaj Tak-CSDS Opinion Poll:
According to the Opinion Poll of CSDS-Lokniti-Aaj Tak, NDA has been projected to get 133 to 143 seats in the assembly elections. At the same time, Rashtriya Janata Dal i.e. RJD-led grand alliance can get 88-98 seats. Besides, Chirag Paswan's Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) may win only 2-6 seats. Other parties have been given 6-10 seats in the opinion poll.
On the question of who should be the Chief Minister of Bihar, Nitish Kumar is still the first choice of the people, although the popularity of Tejashwi has also increased. For Chief Minister, 31 percent of Nitish Kumar is considered the best, while 27 percent of the people are with Tejashwi Yadav. It is to be noted here that there is a difference of only four percent between Nitish and Tejashwi.
According to Opinion Polls of Aaj Tak and CSDS, the Nitish Kumar-led NDA alliance in Bihar may get 38 percent of the votes, while Tejashwi Yadav's grand alliance is expected to get 32 percent of the votes. Chirag Paswan is seen getting 6 percent of the vote.
Open Now Poll of Times Now and Sea Voters:
Opinion polls from Times Now and Sea Voters have also encountered a similar figure. According to Times Now and C Voter, NDA is projected to win 160 seats out of the total 243 assembly seats in Bihar. While the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) -led grand alliance can get 76 seats. While others have been given 7 seats in this poll, the LJP can get five seats.
If we talk of party-wise seats in Times Now and Opinion Poll of C Voter, then BJP can get 85 seats in JDU, 70 in JDU, and 5 seats in Ham-VIP. In the Grand Alliance, the RJD can get 56 seats, Congress 15, and the Left 5 seats.
In the Times Now poll, 32 percent of the people have accepted the name of Nitish Kumar in response to the question of who is liked as the Chief Minister, while the second place is 17.6 percent with Tejashwi Yadav and 12.5 percent of Sushil Modi. Has taken a name.
ABP and C voter opinion poll:
The survey conducted by ABP News and C Voters also sees the NDA returning to power again. The ABP poll saw the RJD-led grand alliance back. In this survey, NDA can get 141 to 161 seats and UPA can get 64 to 84 seats. The remaining parties were estimated to have 13 to 23 seats. It is to be noted here that this survey of ABP News is in September.
In the ABP and C voter opinion poll, Bihar Nitish led by Nitish Kumar may get around 44.8 percent votes. At the same time, the RJD-led grand alliance can get 33.4 percent of the vote. Others are estimated to get 21.8 percent of the vote.
What is the point of these three opinion polls?
The assessment of all three opinion polls indicates that there is a high probability of Nitish Kumar forming a government in Bihar, but the Grand Alliance also seems to be challenging. After 2010, Nitish Kumar's JDU and BJP are contesting elections together. Because in 2013, JD (U) parted ways with the NDA after Narendra Modi's name was cleared for the post of Prime Minister and then contested with RJD in 2015. Aaj Tak's survey came on Tuesday, while ABP and Times Now are out of date. However, these three polls are only an estimate and the real result will be revealed only on November 10.
Explain that there will be three phases of voting for Bihar elections. The first phase will be voted on October 28, the second phase will be voted on November 03 and the third and last phase will be voted on November 07. The results will be out on 10 November. Let us know that the term of the Bihar Legislative Assembly is ending on 29 November.
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