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Silver Price Crash: Precious Metal Falls 45% From Peak—Will Prices Drop to ₹1.50 Lakh Next?

Posted on 12th Jun 2026 12:37 pm by rohit kumar

After witnessing a historic rally earlier this year, silver prices have entered a sharp correction phase, leaving investors and traders divided over the metal's future direction. Silver, which touched an all-time high of ₹4,20,048 per kilogram on January 29, has fallen dramatically to around ₹2,30,493 per kilogram as of June 11, marking a decline of nearly 45%.

 

The steep fall has sparked a crucial debate among market participants: Is this a golden opportunity to accumulate silver at lower levels, or could prices decline even further in the coming months?

 

Silver Prices Under Pressure After Record Rally

 

Silver emerged as one of the best-performing commodities during its recent bull run, driven by strong industrial demand, investment inflows, and global economic uncertainty.

 

However, the momentum has weakened significantly over the past few months. Market experts attribute the correction to multiple factors, including a stronger US dollar, changing investor sentiment, and weakening inflows into silver-backed investment products.

 

Can Silver Prices Fall Further?

 

According to a recent market outlook by commodity research firms, silver may face additional downside pressure if key international support levels are breached.

 

Analysts suggest that international silver prices could decline toward the $48.60 per ounce mark after slipping below the psychologically important $50 level.

 

If this scenario unfolds, domestic silver prices could potentially fall toward ₹1.60 lakh per kilogram, according to market estimates.

 

Why Are Silver Prices Falling?

Stronger Dollar Hurting Commodities

 

One of the primary reasons behind the correction is the strengthening US dollar.

 

Historically, commodities such as silver, gold, and crude oil tend to face pressure when the dollar index rises because higher dollar strength makes commodities more expensive for global buyers.

 

Gold-Silver Ratio Signals Weakness

 

Another key indicator influencing silver prices is the gold-silver ratio.

 

This ratio measures how many ounces of silver are required to purchase one ounce of gold.

 

Market analysts note:

 

When the ratio rises, silver generally underperforms gold.

When the ratio declines, silver often strengthens.

 

During mid-2025, when the ratio was around 107, silver prices remained subdued. As the ratio dropped to 43, silver witnessed a powerful rally that pushed prices beyond ₹4.20 lakh per kilogram.

 

Now the ratio has climbed back to around 63, with some experts expecting it to move toward 72 over the next few months, creating additional pressure on silver prices.

 

Massive Outflows From Silver ETFs

 

Investor sentiment has also weakened noticeably.

 

Silver Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), which had attracted strong inflows during the rally, are now witnessing significant withdrawals.

 

Silver ETF Trend

January: Net inflow of ₹9,463 crore

February onward: Continuous outflows

May: Record outflow of ₹2,133 crore

 

The sharp reversal indicates that many investors are booking profits and reducing exposure to silver-based investments.

 

What Are Experts Saying?

Mid-Term Outlook Remains Bearish

 

Commodity market experts believe the medium-term trend remains negative.

 

According to market analysts, if international silver prices break below the crucial $61 support level, the metal could slide further toward the $56-$57 range.

 

This could translate into additional pressure on domestic silver prices.

 

Long-Term Outlook Still Positive

 

Despite short-term weakness, many experts remain optimistic about silver's long-term prospects.

 

Silver continues to benefit from growing demand across sectors such as:

 

Solar energy

Electric vehicles (EVs)

Electronics manufacturing

Semiconductor production

5G infrastructure

 

Because of these structural demand drivers, analysts advise investors to consider gradual accumulation rather than making large lump-sum investments.

 

Key Levels Investors Should Watch

 

According to market experts, silver's long-term bullish trend will regain strength only if prices decisively cross ₹2.87 lakh per kilogram on a closing basis.

 

Until then:

 

Volatility is likely to remain high.

Sharp price swings may continue.

Investors should expect both rallies and corrections.

 

On international charts, analysts identify the $61 level as a major support zone. Unless this level is broken decisively, a fresh major decline may remain limited.

 

Should Investors Buy the Dip?

 

Financial experts suggest a cautious approach.

 

Suitable Strategy

Avoid aggressive lump-sum investments.

Consider staggered buying through SIPs or phased purchases.

Maintain diversification across asset classes.

Monitor global commodity trends and dollar movements.

 

For long-term investors, corrections often provide opportunities to build positions gradually rather than chasing prices during rallies.

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