Yadav and Pasmanda Muslims, what is BJP's 2024 plan; Who is giving tension to Akhilesh

PM Narendra Modi addressed the program organized on the occasion of the 10th death anniversary of Harmohan Singh Yadav, a socialist leader and close aide of Mulayam Singh Yadav. Not only this, many BJP leaders including former Deputy CM Dinesh Sharma, and Assembly Speaker Satish Mahana were present on the stage. At the same time, Sapai, who appeared in the programs organized in the memory of Harmohan, remained absent for a long time. Apart from being a socialist leader, Harmohan was also the president of the All India Yadav Mahasabha. This was the reason that Yadavs from 12 states had gathered in the program organized on Monday. Harmohan Yadav's son Sukhram Yadav and his grandson Mohit Yadav are now members of the BJP.

It is clear that Harmohan Yadav was not only a leader of socialist heritage but also had a reputation in the fraternity. In such a situation, the BJP is trying to give a message to the Yadav vote bank close to his family, which may increase the tension of Akhilesh Yadav in the coming days. That too at a time when there is a rift with his uncle Shivpal Yadav and Aparna Yadav has already become a member of the BJP. Akhilesh Yadav's first electoral test in recent years is about to take place in the 2024 general election and even a slight tilt towards the BJP will add to the woes for Akhilesh. The results of the by-elections, especially in seats like Azamgarh and Rampur, have already given such indications that the BJP may make a dent in the citadel as well.

Focus on Pasmanda and worry about the results of the by-elections

This tension of Akhilesh also becomes double because PM Narendra Modi has called upon the BJP to focus on the Pasmanda Muslims. Among Muslims, the population of Pasmanda is said to be 80 to 85 percent. Several figures have claimed that the BJP got 8 percent Muslim votes in the 2022 assembly elections. This is the reason why he is now excited for further preparations and if he gets the affection of Muslims through experiments like Sneh Yatra, then the results can be very different. Even if the BJP may not get a large Muslim vote, if it becomes a participant in many vote-cutting parties, there will be a possibility of changing the equation. This is the real concern for Akhilesh Yadav, who appears to be the lone leader to challenge the BJP in UP.

Akhilesh Yadav's trouble will increase in these districts if the equation changes

The BJP has intensified its campaign between the Yadavs and the Muslims, after claiming a large part of the OBCs and the Depressed Classes. If it gets even a small share of these sections, then the equation can change in Yadav-dominated districts like Firozabad, Mainpuri, Etawah, Kannauj, Kanpur Dehat, and Azamgarh. Apart from this, the situation may change in Muslim-dominated Moradabad, Muzaffarnagar, Bahraich, Rampur, Amroha, Sambhal, Bijnor, Balrampur, Saharanpur, Hapur, Bareilly, Shravasti, Shamli, Meerut, Baghpat. The Muslim population in these districts is more than 25 percent. In such a situation, the SP has been considering them favorable, but the results of Rampur have weakened this claim as well. This is like a warning to the Samajwadi Party.

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